FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

355.26 – 158.02

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

332 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 28.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 592.2 ±10.7

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 166.19Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

4362Gems

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 164.47Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5695Heavy Duty Eagles

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 24.6Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352.1 ±11.1

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 18.87Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 25.24Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 113.91Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 67, 4362, 5695

/ 100 compat

Projected

355.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 67, 4362, 5695

Auto

81.9 23%

Teleop

217.1 62%

Endgame

52.5 15%

Strengths

· 67 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7491, 5067, 6615

/ 100 compat

Projected

158 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7491, 5067, 6615

Auto

35.7 23%

Teleop

76.0 48%

Endgame

46.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score355.3pts

Blue projected score158pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 197.2
Score range: 135–378
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 457 vs event baseline 129.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

592.2Season APEX352.1

81.9Auto35.7

217.1Teleop76

52.5Endgame46

20Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	21
teleop	195	57
endgame	68	47
foul	0	0
total	332	125

Result

Final score

332 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 28.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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