FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

60.02 – 116.35

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 15.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 178 ±13.3

2145HAZMATS

Season APEX 69Event APEX 26.8Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

314The Megatron Oracles

Season APEX 54Event APEX 26.16Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7225Mechatronic Mustangs

Season APEX 55Event APEX 7.06Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 222.6 ±12.7

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 26Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8423Next Express

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 57.52Rank 21Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

11457INVEST

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 32.83Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2145, 314, 7225

/ 100 compat

Projected

60 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2145, 314, 7225

Auto

12.3 21%

Teleop

28.2 49%

Endgame

17.5 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8426, 8423, 11457

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8426, 8423, 11457

Auto

25.4 23%

Teleop

43.3 38%

Endgame

43.8 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score60pts

Blue projected score116.4pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -56.3
Score range: 36–140
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 162 vs event baseline 130.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

178Season APEX222.6

12.3Auto25.4

28.2Teleop43.3

17.5Endgame43.8

21Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	11
teleop	22	24
endgame	17	29
foul	5	30
total	68	94

Result

Final score

68 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 15.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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