FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

113.8 – 145.63

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

130 – 241

Prediction correct · off by 55.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 374.7 ±11.7

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 76.27Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4384Benzene Bots

Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 34.78Rank 12Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

11473Wixom Christian Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 2.75Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 423.2 ±11.1

10652Mechanical MacGyvers

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 20.77Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10612Cougear

Season APEX 77Event APEX -26.57Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 151.43Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3707, 4384, 11473

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3707, 4384, 11473

Auto

22.5 20%

Teleop

56.5 50%

Endgame

33.4 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10652, 10612, 67

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10652, 10612, 67

Auto

40.9 29%

Teleop

84.9 60%

Endgame

16.8 12%

Strengths

· 67 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score113.8pts

Blue projected score145.6pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31.8
Score range: 91–169
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 371 vs event baseline 126.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

374.7Season APEX423.2

22.5Auto40.9

56.5Teleop84.9

33.4Endgame16.8

33Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	55
teleop	49	138
endgame	52	43
foul	0	5
total	130	241

Result

Final score

130 – 241

Prediction correct · off by 55.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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