FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

23.54 – 225.81

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

45 – 203

Prediction correct · off by 22.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 253.3 ±12.2

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 2.28Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 14.82Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4737Atomigators

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 6.44Rank 39Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 387.3 ±11.1

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 22.22Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7553OSTC - SWEET BOTS

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 37.38Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4362Gems

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 166.21Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8424, 7491, 4737

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.5 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8424, 7491, 4737

Auto

14.9 80%

Teleop

1.0 5%

Endgame

2.8 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7178, 7553, 4362

/ 100 compat

Projected

225.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7178, 7553, 4362

Auto

34.4 15%

Teleop

123.4 55%

Endgame

67.3 30%

Strengths

· 4362 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.52 · Blue 2.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score23.5pts

Blue projected score225.8pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -202.3
Score range: 1–249
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 248 vs event baseline 126.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

253.3Season APEX387.3

14.9Auto34.4

1Teleop123.4

2.8Endgame67.3

19Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	40
teleop	17	120
endgame	8	43
foul	0	0
total	45	203

Result

Final score

45 – 203

Prediction correct · off by 22.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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