FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

46.5 – 79.8

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

70 – 20

Prediction missed · off by 41.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 143.5 ±13.9

11462Morenci Miswired

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 9.07Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6610Robot Roll Call

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 28.02Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10285Sacred Heart Outlanders

Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 9.41Rank 34Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 155.1 ±12.1

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 32.04Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 17.82Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 29.94Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11462, 6610, 10285

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11462, 6610, 10285

Auto

25.7 60%

Teleop

5.2 12%

Endgame

12.1 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7660, 830, 5067

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7660, 830, 5067

Auto

11.0 15%

Teleop

48.8 68%

Endgame

12.0 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.23 · Blue 1.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score46.5pts

Blue projected score79.8pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -33.3
Score range: 24–103
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 90 vs event baseline 128.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

143.5Season APEX155.1

25.7Auto11

5.2Teleop48.8

12.1Endgame12

45Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	5
teleop	27	3
endgame	16	12
foul	0	0
total	70	20

Result

Final score

70 – 20

Prediction missed · off by 41.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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