FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

127.7 – 169.66

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

145 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 24.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 380.6 ±12.4

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 95.9Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5053Lakers

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 46.55Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3302TurboTrojans

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX -14.75Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 440 ±11.7

8423Next Express

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 60.37Rank 21Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5695Heavy Duty Eagles

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 2.68Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 106.61Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6615, 5053, 3302

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6615, 5053, 3302

Auto

19.2 17%

Teleop

44.1 39%

Endgame

51.1 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8423, 5695, 2137

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8423, 5695, 2137

Auto

55.5 31%

Teleop

83.6 47%

Endgame

38.1 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score127.7pts

Blue projected score169.7pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -42
Score range: 105–193
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 346 vs event baseline 127.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

380.6Season APEX440

19.2Auto55.5

44.1Teleop83.6

51.1Endgame38.1

24Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	64
teleop	69	107
endgame	48	30
foul	0	0
total	145	201

Result

Final score

145 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 24.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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