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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

181.8495.85

74%26%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

18059

Prediction correct · off by 19.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 337.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 8.48Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 0.64Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 172.72Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198.2 ±12.1
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 17.09Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 49.08Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69Event APEX 29.68Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 830, 3302, 4362
70
/ 100 compat
Projected
181.8 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 830, 3302, 4362
Auto
29.5 17%
Teleop
103.0 58%
Endgame
46.2 26%
Strengths
  • · 4362 anchors offense
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7660, 5674, 2145
50
/ 100 compat
Projected
95.9 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 7660, 5674, 2145
Auto
25.1 28%
Teleop
42.1 48%
Endgame
20.9 24%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.92
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score181.8pts
Blue projected score95.9pts
Red win probability74%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
86
Score range
69209
Upset likelihood
26%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 239 vs event baseline 148.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

337.7Season APEX198.2
29.5Auto25.1
103Teleop42.1
46.2Endgame20.9
40Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto64
teleop11326
endgame6119
foul010
total18059

Result

Final score

18059

Prediction correct · off by 19.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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