Qualification · Qualification 4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
181.84 – 95.85
74%26%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
180 – 59
Prediction correct · off by 19.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 337.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 8.48Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 0.64Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 172.72Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198.2 ±12.1
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 17.09Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 49.08Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69Event APEX 29.68Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 830, 3302, 4362
70
/ 100 compatProjected
181.8 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 830, 3302, 4362
Auto
29.5 17%
Teleop
103.0 58%
Endgame
46.2 26%
Strengths
- · 4362 anchors offense
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7660, 5674, 2145
50
/ 100 compatProjected
95.9 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 7660, 5674, 2145
Auto
25.1 28%
Teleop
42.1 48%
Endgame
20.9 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.92
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score181.8pts
Blue projected score95.9pts
Red win probability74%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 86
- Score range
- 69–209
- Upset likelihood
- 26%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
337.7Season APEX198.2
29.5Auto25.1
103Teleop42.1
46.2Endgame20.9
40Consistency39
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 6 | 4 |
| teleop | 113 | 26 |
| endgame | 61 | 19 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 180 | 59 |
Result
Final score
180 – 59
Prediction correct · off by 19.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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