FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

116.41 – 51.09

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

219 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 69.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 336.2 ±11.6

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX -7.19Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5114Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 200Event APEX 99.15Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4384Benzene Bots

Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 24.45Rank 12Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 173.4 ±13.3

6566Battering Rams

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 36.32Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7225Mechatronic Mustangs

Season APEX 55Event APEX 4.34Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5674The Gearhounds

Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 10.43Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 308, 5114, 4384

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 308, 5114, 4384

Auto

26.9 23%

Teleop

66.5 57%

Endgame

22.5 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6566, 7225, 5674

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6566, 7225, 5674

Auto

10.8 21%

Teleop

17.6 35%

Endgame

22.1 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score116.4pts

Blue projected score51.1pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 65.3
Score range: 28–139
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 307 vs event baseline 126.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

336.2Season APEX173.4

26.9Auto10.8

66.5Teleop17.6

22.5Endgame22.1

15Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	20
teleop	128	53
endgame	46	10
foul	0	5
total	219	88

Result

Final score

219 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 69.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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