FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

23.92 – 126.34

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

53 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 19.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 212.8 ±12.7

10612Cougear

Season APEX 77Event APEX -28.4Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11486Chesterton Saints

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 27.08Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2145HAZMATS

Season APEX 69Event APEX 25.24Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 361.2 ±11.7

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 19.51Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 74.52Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

314The Megatron Oracles

Season APEX 54Event APEX 32.31Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10612, 11486, 2145

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10612, 11486, 2145

Auto

15.8 59%

Teleop

9.7 36%

Endgame

1.5 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7491, 3707, 314

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7491, 3707, 314

Auto

30.4 26%

Teleop

50.1 43%

Endgame

34.7 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.88 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score23.9pts

Blue projected score126.3pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -102.4
Score range: 1–149
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 189 vs event baseline 127.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

212.8Season APEX361.2

15.8Auto30.4

9.7Teleop50.1

1.5Endgame34.7

9Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	32
teleop	8	90
endgame	19	14
foul	0	0
total	53	136

Result

Final score

53 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 19.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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