FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

52.72 – 70.54

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

81 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 35.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 186.7 ±12.7

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 23.31Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4737Atomigators

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 3.63Rank 39Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 25.78Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 353.8 ±11.7

6610Robot Roll Call

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 21.05Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7762AutoPilots

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 23.87Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 25.62Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7178, 4737, 5067

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7178, 4737, 5067

Auto

21.5 34%

Teleop

32.6 51%

Endgame

9.7 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6610, 7762, 548

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6610, 7762, 548

Auto

23.2 33%

Teleop

41.6 60%

Endgame

4.5 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score52.7pts

Blue projected score70.5pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -17.8
Score range: 30–94
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 195 vs event baseline 128.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

186.7Season APEX353.8

21.5Auto23.2

32.6Teleop41.6

9.7Endgame4.5

67Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	37
teleop	25	50
endgame	24	27
foul	15	0
total	81	114

Result

Final score

81 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 35.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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