FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

53.05 – 342.61

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

31 – 203

Prediction correct · off by 80.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 155.9 ±13.3

5695Heavy Duty Eagles

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 10.18Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10285Sacred Heart Outlanders

Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 21.1Rank 34Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 21.77Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 649.2 ±9.9

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 129.82Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7553OSTC - SWEET BOTS

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 68.06Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 144.73Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5695, 10285, 830

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.1 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5695, 10285, 830

Auto

9.9 17%

Teleop

27.8 49%

Endgame

19.5 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2137, 7553, 3538

/ 100 compat

Projected

342.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2137, 7553, 3538

Auto

89.7 26%

Teleop

181.2 53%

Endgame

72.2 21%

Strengths

· 3538 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.46 · Blue 2.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score53.1pts

Blue projected score342.6pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -289.6
Score range: 30–366
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 234 vs event baseline 125.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

155.9Season APEX649.2

9.9Auto89.7

27.8Teleop181.2

19.5Endgame72.2

42Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	32
teleop	15	132
endgame	3	39
foul	0	0
total	31	203

Result

Final score

31 – 203

Prediction correct · off by 80.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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