FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

21.81 – 148.75

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

83 – 69

Prediction missed · off by 70.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.7 ±12.1

4384Benzene Bots

Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 14.4Rank 12Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5674The Gearhounds

Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 3.6Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 3.81Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 378.2 ±11.7

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 83.64Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4737Atomigators

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 23.46Rank 39Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

2145HAZMATS

Season APEX 69Event APEX 41.65Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4384, 5674, 7491

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4384, 5674, 7491

Auto

10.4 57%

Teleop

1.6 9%

Endgame

6.4 35%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3707, 4737, 2145

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3707, 4737, 2145

Auto

10.9 7%

Teleop

82.7 57%

Endgame

52.0 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.83 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score21.8pts

Blue projected score148.8pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -126.9
Score range: -1–172
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 152 vs event baseline 127.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229.7Season APEX378.2

10.4Auto10.9

1.6Teleop82.7

6.4Endgame52

36Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	27
teleop	44	14
endgame	19	23
foul	0	5
total	83	69

Result

Final score

83 – 69

Prediction missed · off by 70.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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