Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

161.02166.42

48%52%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

49124

Prediction correct · off by 77.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 373.9 ±11.1
Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 13.38Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 57.2Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 90.44Rank 21Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 330.5 ±11.6
Season APEX 200Event APEX 113.79Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 27.47Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 25.16Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 308, 5066, 8423
72
/ 100 compat
Projected
161 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 308, 5066, 8423
Auto
31.3 20%
Teleop
78.6 50%
Endgame
48.5 31%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5114, 7178, 7762
75
/ 100 compat
Projected
166.4 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5114, 7178, 7762
Auto
38.4 23%
Teleop
90.1 54%
Endgame
38.6 23%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.66
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score161pts
Blue projected score166.4pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-5.4
Score range
138189
Upset likelihood
48%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 173 vs event baseline 128.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

373.9Season APEX330.5
31.3Auto38.4
78.6Teleop90.1
48.5Endgame38.6
7Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1642
teleop2176
endgame71
foul55
total49124

Result

Final score

49124

Prediction correct · off by 77.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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