FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

114.15 – 34.4

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

199 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 48.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 315.9 ±12.4

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 101.65Rank 7Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

11473Wixom Christian Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX -13.27Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6566Battering Rams

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 25.77Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.5 ±13.3

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 23.89Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11486Chesterton Saints

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 29.05Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3302TurboTrojans

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX -18.54Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1023, 11473, 6566

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1023, 11473, 6566

Auto

29.1 27%

Teleop

60.4 57%

Endgame

16.6 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5067, 11486, 3302

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5067, 11486, 3302

Auto

1.0 3%

Teleop

28.2 97%

Endgame

0.0 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score114.2pts

Blue projected score34.4pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 79.8
Score range: 11–137
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 246 vs event baseline 128.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

315.9Season APEX171.5

29.1Auto1

60.4Teleop28.2

16.6Endgame0

47Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	22
teleop	111	16
endgame	44	9
foul	0	0
total	199	47

Result

Final score

199 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 48.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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