Qualification · Qualification 30
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
93.28 – 187.85
24%76%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
122 – 236
Prediction correct · off by 38.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 189.1 ±12.7
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 17.9Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 57.97Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 17.41Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 422.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 137.35Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 54Event APEX 31.8Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 18.7Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7660, 7553, 6610
53
/ 100 compatProjected
93.3 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 7660, 7553, 6610
Auto
24.4 25%
Teleop
45.9 48%
Endgame
25.4 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 67, 314, 8426
80
/ 100 compatProjected
187.9 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 67, 314, 8426
Auto
50.3 27%
Teleop
117.9 62%
Endgame
21.5 11%
Strengths
- · 67 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 2.06
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score93.3pts
Blue projected score187.9pts
Red win probability24%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -94.6
- Score range
- 70–211
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
189.1Season APEX422.5
24.4Auto50.3
45.9Teleop117.9
25.4Endgame21.5
49Consistency59
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 29 | 62 |
| teleop | 49 | 91 |
| endgame | 44 | 48 |
| foul | 0 | 35 |
| total | 122 | 236 |
Result
Final score
122 – 236
Prediction correct · off by 38.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.