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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

68.8363.97

52%48%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

4036

Prediction correct · off by 28.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 199.7 ±13.9
Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 31.56Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55Event APEX 12.1Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 25.17Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 246.4 ±12.8
Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 18.59Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54Event APEX 23Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 22.38Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11486, 7225, 6078
36
/ 100 compat
Projected
68.8 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 11486, 7225, 6078
Auto
15.8 25%
Teleop
21.6 34%
Endgame
26.2 41%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5695, 314, 8424
32
/ 100 compat
Projected
64 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 5695, 314, 8424
Auto
25.3 42%
Teleop
33.4 55%
Endgame
2.2 4%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.36
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score68.8pts
Blue projected score64pts
Red win probability52%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
4.9
Score range
3796
Upset likelihood
48%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
Close match

Combined score 76 vs event baseline 148.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

199.7Season APEX246.4
15.8Auto25.3
21.6Teleop33.4
26.2Endgame2.2
40Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1023
teleop1611
endgame92
foul50
total4036

Result

Final score

4036

Prediction correct · off by 28.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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