FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

44.94 – 16.33

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

152 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 71.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 411.3 ±11.2

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX -4.13Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 80.48Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11462Morenci Miswired

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX -31.41Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 177.6 ±13.3

10652Mechanical MacGyvers

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 21.82Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6078RoboRams

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX -4.9Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10285Sacred Heart Outlanders

Season APEX 34.2Event APEX -0.59Rank 34Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8424, 6615, 11462

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8424, 6615, 11462

Auto

14.2 29%

Teleop

-8.0 0%

Endgame

42.7 87%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10652, 6078, 10285

/ 100 compat

Projected

16.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10652, 6078, 10285

Auto

12.8 100%

Teleop

-8.0 0%

Endgame

2.0 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score44.9pts

Blue projected score16.3pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 28.6
Score range: -7–68
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 204 vs event baseline 128.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

411.3Season APEX177.6

14.2Auto12.8

-8Teleop-8

42.7Endgame2

101Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	20
teleop	64	26
endgame	27	6
foul	30	0
total	152	52

Result

Final score

152 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 71.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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