FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

173.14 – 52.1

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

273 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 53.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 458.3 ±11.1

8423Next Express

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 68.83Rank 21Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX -25.62Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 129.93Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 158.9 ±13.3

11473Wixom Christian Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX -24.12Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 36.94Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11486Chesterton Saints

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 39.28Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8423, 7491, 3538

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8423, 7491, 3538

Auto

43.8 26%

Teleop

91.0 54%

Endgame

33.5 20%

Strengths

· 3538 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11473, 830, 11486

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11473, 830, 11486

Auto

10.5 23%

Teleop

28.7 63%

Endgame

6.0 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.15 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score173.1pts

Blue projected score52.1pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 121
Score range: 29–196
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 127.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

458.3Season APEX158.9

43.8Auto10.5

91Teleop28.7

33.5Endgame6

0Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	84	21
teleop	136	22
endgame	53	16
foul	0	0
total	273	59

Result

Final score

273 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 53.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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