FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

213.01 – 161.3

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

334 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 60.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 536.2 ±10.5

5114Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 200Event APEX 103.66Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 108.34Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 1.01Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 409.7 ±11.1

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 41.36Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5674The Gearhounds

Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 0.7Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 119.24Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5114, 67, 7660

/ 100 compat

Projected

213 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5114, 67, 7660

Auto

64.5 32%

Teleop

102.2 50%

Endgame

36.9 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7178, 5674, 2137

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7178, 5674, 2137

Auto

38.9 23%

Teleop

83.8 49%

Endgame

49.4 29%

Strengths

· 2137 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score213pts

Blue projected score161.3pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 51.7
Score range: 139–235
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 495 vs event baseline 122.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

536.2Season APEX409.7

64.5Auto38.9

102.2Teleop83.8

36.9Endgame49.4

88Consistency101

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	55
teleop	201	77
endgame	33	29
foul	15	0
total	334	161

Result

Final score

334 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 60.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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