FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

50.69 – 59.95

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 58.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 212.9 ±12.8

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX -1.17Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6566Battering Rams

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 23.7Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6610Robot Roll Call

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 28.16Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 345.8 ±11.1

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 72.64Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX -6.39Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10652Mechanical MacGyvers

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX -6.3Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8424, 6566, 6610

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8424, 6566, 6610

Auto

30.3 63%

Teleop

16.9 35%

Endgame

0.7 1%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6615, 308, 10652

/ 100 compat

Projected

60 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6615, 308, 10652

Auto

21.3 38%

Teleop

11.4 20%

Endgame

23.2 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score50.7pts

Blue projected score60pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -9.3
Score range: 29–82
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 228 vs event baseline 123.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

212.9Season APEX345.8

30.3Auto21.3

16.9Teleop11.4

0.7Endgame23.2

32Consistency132

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	24
teleop	21	85
endgame	22	62
foul	0	0
total	57	171

Result

Final score

57 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 58.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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