FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.75 – 63.97

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

45 – 22

Prediction missed · off by 23.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 370.6 ±11.7

314The Megatron Oracles

Season APEX 54Event APEX 31.69Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10612Cougear

Season APEX 77Event APEX -32.88Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 40.94Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 155.9 ±13.3

10285Sacred Heart Outlanders

Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 5.82Rank 34Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

2145HAZMATS

Season APEX 69Event APEX 63.65Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3302TurboTrojans

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX -5.5Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 314, 10612, 548

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 314, 10612, 548

Auto

10.6 23%

Teleop

7.3 16%

Endgame

28.0 61%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10285, 2145, 3302

/ 100 compat

Projected

64 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10285, 2145, 3302

Auto

-4.7 0%

Teleop

19.5 33%

Endgame

43.7 75%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score39.8pts

Blue projected score64pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -24.2
Score range: 17–87
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 67 vs event baseline 127.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

370.6Season APEX155.9

10.6Auto-4.7

7.3Teleop19.5

28Endgame43.7

34Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	7
teleop	16	4
endgame	2	1
foul	0	10
total	45	22

Result

Final score

45 – 22

Prediction missed · off by 23.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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