FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

127.63 – 56.98

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

124 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 353.5 ±12.4

11457INVEST

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 48.83Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5695Heavy Duty Eagles

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 12.12Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 66.68Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 175.5 ±13.3

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 35.36Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11462Morenci Miswired

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX -13.28Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4737Atomigators

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 34.9Rank 39Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11457, 5695, 3707

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11457, 5695, 3707

Auto

16.0 13%

Teleop

68.2 56%

Endgame

37.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 830, 11462, 4737

/ 100 compat

Projected

57 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 830, 11462, 4737

Auto

10.9 20%

Teleop

32.0 58%

Endgame

12.0 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.9 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score127.6pts

Blue projected score57pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 70.7
Score range: 34–151
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 145 vs event baseline 129.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

353.5Season APEX175.5

16Auto10.9

68.2Teleop32

37.2Endgame12

118Consistency109

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	12
teleop	73	3
endgame	33	1
foul	0	5
total	124	21

Result

Final score

124 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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