FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

108.92 – 67.77

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 66

Prediction missed · off by 23.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 224.2 ±13.3

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 33.77Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5053Lakers

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 64.99Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6078RoboRams

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 10.16Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232.3 ±12.7

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 23Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7225Mechatronic Mustangs

Season APEX 55Event APEX 22.11Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4384Benzene Bots

Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 22.66Rank 12Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5067, 5053, 6078

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5067, 5053, 6078

Auto

21.3 24%

Teleop

50.9 56%

Endgame

18.3 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8426, 7225, 4384

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8426, 7225, 4384

Auto

13.4 17%

Teleop

39.8 51%

Endgame

25.5 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score108.9pts

Blue projected score67.8pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 41.2
Score range: 44–133
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 130 vs event baseline 132.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

224.2Season APEX232.3

21.3Auto13.4

50.9Teleop39.8

18.3Endgame25.5

90Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	16
teleop	24	23
endgame	18	27
foul	5	0
total	64	66

Result

Final score

64 – 66

Prediction missed · off by 23.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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