FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

318.24 – 174.82

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

441 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 73.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 759.8 ±8.7

4362Gems

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 129.28Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 107.54Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 81.42Rank 7Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 379.1 ±11.1

7762AutoPilots

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 39.58Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 62.85Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7553OSTC - SWEET BOTS

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 72.39Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4362, 3538, 1023

/ 100 compat

Projected

318.2 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4362, 3538, 1023

Auto

47.9 15%

Teleop

193.5 61%

Endgame

75.9 24%

Strengths

· 4362 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7762, 5066, 7553

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7762, 5066, 7553

Auto

36.0 22%

Teleop

104.2 63%

Endgame

25.4 15%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.39 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score318.2pts

Blue projected score174.8pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 143.4
Score range: 153–340
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 592 vs event baseline 124.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

759.8Season APEX379.1

47.9Auto36

193.5Teleop104.2

75.9Endgame25.4

23Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	101	27
teleop	280	82
endgame	40	37
foul	20	5
total	441	151

Result

Final score

441 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 73.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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