Qualification · Qualification 20
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
90.89 – 43.76
64%36%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
75 – 159
Prediction missed · off by 65.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 235.3 ±12.1
Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 7.55Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 102.58Rank 21Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 65.5Event APEX -19.24Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 396.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 100.74Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 4.66Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77Event APEX -61.64Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5674, 8423, 10652
53
/ 100 compatProjected
90.9 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 5674, 8423, 10652
Auto
5.9 7%
Teleop
52.7 62%
Endgame
26.7 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2137, 6610, 10612
30
/ 100 compatProjected
43.8 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 2137, 6610, 10612
Auto
33.6 57%
Teleop
26.4 45%
Endgame
-1.2 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.32
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score90.9pts
Blue projected score43.8pts
Red win probability64%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 47.1
- Score range
- 22–113
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
235.3Season APEX396.7
5.9Auto33.6
52.7Teleop26.4
26.7Endgame-1.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 57 |
| teleop | 27 | 78 |
| endgame | 28 | 24 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 75 | 159 |
Result
Final score
75 – 159
Prediction missed · off by 65.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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