FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

150.21 – 241.87

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

33 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 64.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 432.1 ±11.7

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 139.91Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10612Cougear

Season APEX 77Event APEX 3.78Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11462Morenci Miswired

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 6.52Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 673.2 ±9.3

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 98.84Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5114Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 200Event APEX 97.17Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 45.86Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3538, 10612, 11462

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3538, 10612, 11462

Auto

45.3 31%

Teleop

84.9 57%

Endgame

17.6 12%

Strengths

· 3538 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6615, 5114, 548

/ 100 compat

Projected

241.9 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6615, 5114, 548

Auto

56.8 24%

Teleop

120.0 50%

Endgame

62.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.99 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score150.2pts

Blue projected score241.9pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -91.7
Score range: 123–269
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 287 vs event baseline 148.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

432.1Season APEX673.2

45.3Auto56.8

84.9Teleop120

17.6Endgame62.6

30Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	52
teleop	3	98
endgame	0	99
foul	0	5
total	33	254

Result

Final score

33 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 64.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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