FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

123.35 – 109.81

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

58 – 110

Prediction missed · off by 32.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 153.9 ±13.3

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 2.46Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11457INVEST

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 71.93Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4737Atomigators

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 48.96Rank 39Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 362.8 ±11.7

11473Wixom Christian Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX -7.67Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5114Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 200Event APEX 103.3Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 14.18Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 308, 11457, 4737

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 308, 11457, 4737

Auto

16.4 13%

Teleop

91.1 69%

Endgame

23.7 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11473, 5114, 8424

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 11473, 5114, 8424

Auto

25.8 25%

Teleop

32.3 31%

Endgame

46.3 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.46 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score123.4pts

Blue projected score109.8pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 13.5
Score range: 87–146
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 168 vs event baseline 127.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

153.9Season APEX362.8

16.4Auto25.8

91.1Teleop32.3

23.7Endgame46.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	42
teleop	26	40
endgame	23	23
foul	0	5
total	58	110

Result

Final score

58 – 110

Prediction missed · off by 32.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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