FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

142.66 – 0

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

250 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 77.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 415.9 ±11.1

2145HAZMATS

Season APEX 69Event APEX 50.76Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 15.19Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 76.71Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188.5 ±13.9

11462Morenci Miswired

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX -2.91Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5695Heavy Duty Eagles

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX -23.74Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7225Mechatronic Mustangs

Season APEX 55Event APEX 8.52Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2145, 7178, 67

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2145, 7178, 67

Auto

33.5 23%

Teleop

95.1 66%

Endgame

15.6 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11462, 5695, 7225

/ 100 compat

Projected

-18.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11462, 5695, 7225

Auto

2.1 0%

Teleop

-23.0 100%

Endgame

4.0 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score142.7pts

Blue projected score-18.1pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 142.7
Score range: -23–166
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 298 vs event baseline 125.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

415.9Season APEX188.5

33.5Auto2.1

95.1Teleop-23

15.6Endgame4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	23
teleop	140	14
endgame	63	11
foul	0	0
total	250	48

Result

Final score

250 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 77.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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