FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

115.61 – 130.7

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

168 – 90

Prediction missed · off by 46.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 376.9 ±11.1

7553OSTC - SWEET BOTS

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 52.45Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 80.4Rank 7Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX -17.24Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 317.3 ±11.7

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 85.14Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10285Sacred Heart Outlanders

Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 18.3Rank 34Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 27.26Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7553, 1023, 7491

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7553, 1023, 7491

Auto

18.6 16%

Teleop

60.1 52%

Endgame

37.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5066, 10285, 5067

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5066, 10285, 5067

Auto

24.1 17%

Teleop

84.2 61%

Endgame

30.0 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score115.6pts

Blue projected score130.7pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -15.1
Score range: 93–154
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 258 vs event baseline 125.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

376.9Season APEX317.3

18.6Auto24.1

60.1Teleop84.2

37.1Endgame30

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	32
teleop	84	33
endgame	54	10
foul	5	15
total	168	90

Result

Final score

168 – 90

Prediction missed · off by 46.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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