FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

119.23 – 89.5

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

191 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 61.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 399.3 ±11.7

5053Lakers

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 39.55Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7762AutoPilots

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 24.08Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 55.6Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 403.9 ±11.7

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 87.56Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3302TurboTrojans

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 5.89Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX -3.95Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5053, 7762, 3707

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5053, 7762, 3707

Auto

22.3 19%

Teleop

70.5 59%

Endgame

27.1 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3538, 3302, 7660

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3538, 3302, 7660

Auto

17.4 20%

Teleop

45.8 52%

Endgame

25.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score119.2pts

Blue projected score89.5pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 29.7
Score range: 68–141
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 123.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

399.3Season APEX403.9

22.3Auto17.4

70.5Teleop45.8

27.1Endgame25.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	45
teleop	92	81
endgame	42	0
foul	40	15
total	191	141

Result

Final score

191 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 61.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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