FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

75.69 – 134.76

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

153 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 124.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 365.7 ±12.2

5114Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 200Event APEX 63.6Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6078RoboRams

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX -9.78Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8426Automated Amphibians

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 21.87Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 400.3 ±11.7

8423Next Express

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 34.68Rank 21Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4362Gems

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 91.05Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11486Chesterton Saints

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 9.03Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5114, 6078, 8426

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5114, 6078, 8426

Auto

16.4 24%

Teleop

30.2 44%

Endgame

22.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8423, 4362, 11486

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8423, 4362, 11486

Auto

15.3 11%

Teleop

72.2 53%

Endgame

48.7 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score75.7pts

Blue projected score134.8pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -59.1
Score range: 55–156
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 459 vs event baseline 116.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

365.7Season APEX400.3

16.4Auto15.3

30.2Teleop72.2

22.2Endgame48.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	55
teleop	50	177
endgame	56	69
foul	0	5
total	153	306

Result

Final score

153 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 124.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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