Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 144.49
13%87%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
61 – 292
Prediction correct · off by 104.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 208.6 ±12.7
Season APEX 65.5Event APEX -26.88Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 59.4Event APEX -10.7Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 32.78Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 565.5 ±9.9
Season APEX 69Event APEX 10.59Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 55.42Rank 7Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 78.48Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10652, 11462, 7553
8
/ 100 compatProjected
-4.8 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 10652, 11462, 7553
Auto
5.9 0%
Teleop
-7.5 100%
Endgame
-2.5 61%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2145, 1023, 2137
82
/ 100 compatProjected
144.5 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 2145, 1023, 2137
Auto
30.9 22%
Teleop
77.7 54%
Endgame
34.7 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.29
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-4.8pts
Blue projected score144.5pts
Red win probability13%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -144.5
- Score range
- -20–164
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
208.6Season APEX565.5
5.9Auto30.9
-7.5Teleop77.7
-2.5Endgame34.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 63 |
| teleop | 18 | 171 |
| endgame | 18 | 58 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 61 | 292 |
Result
Final score
61 – 292
Prediction correct · off by 104.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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