FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

8.7 – 96.71

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 143.2 ±12.7

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 26.56Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 5.06Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11473Wixom Christian Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX -22.92Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 341.1 ±11.7

10285Sacred Heart Outlanders

Season APEX 34.2Event APEX 57.14Rank 34Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 34.51Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 5.06Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5067, 308, 11473

/ 100 compat

Projected

8.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5067, 308, 11473

Auto

-1.4 0%

Teleop

15.1 100%

Endgame

-4.8 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10285, 3707, 7178

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.7 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10285, 3707, 7178

Auto

12.1 12%

Teleop

53.6 55%

Endgame

31.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score8.7pts

Blue projected score96.7pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -88
Score range: -12–118
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 145 vs event baseline 114.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

143.2Season APEX341.1

-1.4Auto12.1

15.1Teleop53.6

-4.8Endgame31.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	12
teleop	18	49
endgame	11	47
foul	0	0
total	37	108

Result

Final score

37 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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