FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

55.76 – 51.41

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 304

Prediction missed · off by 134.4 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 177.6 ±13.3

5674The Gearhounds

Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 16.95Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6610Robot Roll Call

Season APEX 49.9Event APEX 25.9Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

314The Megatron Oracles

Season APEX 54Event APEX 12.91Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 565.5 ±10.7

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 20.08Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11457INVEST

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 5.43Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 25.9Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5674, 6610, 314

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5674, 6610, 314

Auto

20.0 38%

Teleop

31.2 59%

Endgame

2.1 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3538, 11457, 5066

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3538, 11457, 5066

Auto

24.6 48%

Teleop

26.6 52%

Endgame

0.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score55.8pts

Blue projected score51.4pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 4.4
Score range: 32–75
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 376 vs event baseline 107.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

177.6Season APEX565.5

20Auto24.6

31.2Teleop26.6

2.1Endgame0.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	60
teleop	35	190
endgame	23	54
foul	0	0
total	72	304

Result

Final score

72 – 304

Prediction missed · off by 134.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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