FIM District Milford Event presented by GM Proving Grounds

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

351.55 – 295.26

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

120 – 246

Prediction missed · off by 140.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 651.4 ±9.3

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 28.02Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 145.81Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4362Gems

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 177.72Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 597.2 ±9.9

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 25.2Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 129.92Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 140.14Rank 6Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8424, 3538, 4362

/ 100 compat

Projected

351.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8424, 3538, 4362

Auto

72.8 21%

Teleop

212.6 61%

Endgame

60.7 18%

Strengths

· 4362 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 308, 2137, 67

/ 100 compat

Projected

295.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 308, 2137, 67

Auto

70.7 24%

Teleop

169.0 59%

Endgame

49.1 17%

Strengths

· 67 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score351.6pts

Blue projected score295.3pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 56.3
Score range: 269–378
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 366 vs event baseline 144.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

651.4Season APEX597.2

72.8Auto70.7

212.6Teleop169

60.7Endgame49.1

0Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	60
teleop	65	127
endgame	0	54
foul	0	5
total	120	246

Result

Final score

120 – 246

Prediction missed · off by 140.4 pts

Match videos

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