FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

180.2 – 176.64

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

168 – 206

Prediction missed · off by 20.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 295.4 ±11

3357COMETS

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 57.35Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9661Huskie STEAM

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 33.07Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 89.78Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 355.1 ±11

8517Bounty Hunters

Season APEX 170.6Event APEX 79.6Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9685Crystal Oscillators

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 34.87Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6753CBA RoboKings

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 62.17Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3357, 9661, 5533

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3357, 9661, 5533

Auto

38.3 22%

Teleop

100.9 57%

Endgame

38.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 8517, 9685, 6753

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8517, 9685, 6753

Auto

40.1 23%

Teleop

82.9 48%

Endgame

50.1 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score180.2pts

Blue projected score176.6pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 3.6
Score range: 156–201
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 374 vs event baseline 118.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

295.4Season APEX355.1

38.3Auto40.1

100.9Teleop82.9

38.9Endgame50.1

51Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	49
teleop	108	93
endgame	14	64
foul	0	0
total	168	206

Result

Final score

168 – 206

Prediction missed · off by 20.8 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.