FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

56.64 – 64.04

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 20.2 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 142 ±12.7

6033Gadget Agents

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 31.43Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5504The Loose Connections

Season APEX 22.9Event APEX 20.86Rank 39Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9648Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 53.6Event APEX 4.35Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 297.5 ±11.7

5229Heritage Hawkbots

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 31.43Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6753CBA RoboKings

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 20.86Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7784Vassar Voltage

Season APEX 47Event APEX 11.75Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6033, 5504, 9648

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6033, 5504, 9648

Auto

18.5 35%

Teleop

21.4 41%

Endgame

12.5 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5229, 6753, 7784

/ 100 compat

Projected

64 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5229, 6753, 7784

Auto

15.1 25%

Teleop

30.8 52%

Endgame

13.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.23 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score56.6pts

Blue projected score64pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -7.4
Score range: 42–79
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 161 vs event baseline 82.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

142Season APEX297.5

18.5Auto15.1

21.4Teleop30.8

12.5Endgame13.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	19
teleop	16	49
endgame	16	36
foul	0	0
total	57	104

Result

Final score

57 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 20.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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