FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

27.08 – 43.41

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 24.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 109.9 ±13.9

9662Valley Lutheran Chargers

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 9.99Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9238Jaybots

Season APEX 42.9Event APEX 15.89Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5504The Loose Connections

Season APEX 22.9Event APEX 1.2Rank 39Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 128.5 ±13.3

10547United Phoenix

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 20.02Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5424Rogue Robots

Season APEX 39Event APEX 25.35Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9731All Saints Range Precision

Season APEX 37.6Event APEX -1.96Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9662, 9238, 5504

/ 100 compat

Projected

27.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9662, 9238, 5504

Auto

11.5 41%

Teleop

4.7 17%

Endgame

11.7 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10547, 5424, 9731

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10547, 5424, 9731

Auto

19.1 54%

Teleop

2.2 6%

Endgame

13.8 39%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score27.1pts

Blue projected score43.4pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -16.3
Score range: 7–63
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 119 vs event baseline 111.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

109.9Season APEX128.5

11.5Auto19.1

4.7Teleop2.2

11.7Endgame13.8

15Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	28
teleop	26	31
endgame	17	3
foul	0	0
total	57	62

Result

Final score

57 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 24.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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