FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

132.1 – 146.03

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

136 – 178

Prediction correct · off by 17.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.1 ±12.2

5538Vikingbots

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 19.62Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7784Vassar Voltage

Season APEX 47Event APEX 20.85Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 91.63Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 376.3 ±11.1

6033Gadget Agents

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 42.07Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1596The Instigators

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 27.54Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5216E-Ville Empire

Season APEX 234.2Event APEX 76.42Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5538, 7784, 5533

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5538, 7784, 5533

Auto

25.9 20%

Teleop

68.3 54%

Endgame

32.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6033, 1596, 5216

/ 100 compat

Projected

146 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6033, 1596, 5216

Auto

51.1 34%

Teleop

73.7 50%

Endgame

23.4 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132.1pts

Blue projected score146pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -13.9
Score range: 112–166
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 314 vs event baseline 110.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

222.1Season APEX376.3

25.9Auto51.1

68.3Teleop73.7

32.9Endgame23.4

28Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	67
teleop	49	79
endgame	51	32
foul	0	0
total	136	178

Result

Final score

136 – 178

Prediction correct · off by 17.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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