FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.91 – 175.86

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 23.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 158.7 ±13.3

9661Huskie STEAM

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 36.25Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6533BeaverTech noducks

Season APEX 45Event APEX 13.03Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7784Vassar Voltage

Season APEX 47Event APEX 23.63Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 386.5 ±11.2

8517Bounty Hunters

Season APEX 170.6Event APEX 76.15Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 86.3Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9662Valley Lutheran Chargers

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 13.41Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9661, 6533, 7784

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9661, 6533, 7784

Auto

23.8 34%

Teleop

42.9 61%

Endgame

4.0 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 8517, 8873, 9662

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8517, 8873, 9662

Auto

34.3 21%

Teleop

93.2 56%

Endgame

39.5 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.9pts

Blue projected score175.9pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -103
Score range: 53–196
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 202 vs event baseline 110.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

158.7Season APEX386.5

23.8Auto34.3

42.9Teleop93.2

4Endgame39.5

49Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	29
teleop	15	88
endgame	17	37
foul	0	0
total	48	154

Result

Final score

48 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 23.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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