FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

126.19 – 102.36

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 115

Prediction missed · off by 45.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 348 ±11.7

1596The Instigators

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 34.14Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

201The FEDS

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 82.82Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5504The Loose Connections

Season APEX 22.9Event APEX 9.23Rank 39Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 174.9 ±12.7

5538Vikingbots

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 18.46Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6033Gadget Agents

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 41.15Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3425PULSARS

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 42.75Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1596, 201, 5504

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1596, 201, 5504

Auto

36.5 30%

Teleop

66.2 54%

Endgame

20.4 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5538, 6033, 3425

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5538, 6033, 3425

Auto

25.7 26%

Teleop

50.8 51%

Endgame

23.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score126.2pts

Blue projected score102.4pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 23.8
Score range: 82–146
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 162 vs event baseline 110.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

348Season APEX174.9

36.5Auto25.7

66.2Teleop50.8

20.4Endgame23.8

31Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	35
teleop	16	36
endgame	10	44
foul	0	0
total	47	115

Result

Final score

47 – 115

Prediction missed · off by 45.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.