FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

167.36 – 148.77

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

180 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 20.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 347.2 ±11.2

3770BlitzCreek

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 57.27Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6073Cav-Bots

Season APEX 43Event APEX 18.43Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 91.66Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 337.5 ±11.1

5216E-Ville Empire

Season APEX 234.2Event APEX 79.52Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9685Crystal Oscillators

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 40.78Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5424Rogue Robots

Season APEX 39Event APEX 28.47Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3770, 6073, 5533

/ 100 compat

Projected

167.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3770, 6073, 5533

Auto

35.2 22%

Teleop

83.2 52%

Endgame

42.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 5216, 9685, 5424

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5216, 9685, 5424

Auto

48.3 34%

Teleop

64.7 45%

Endgame

30.4 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score167.4pts

Blue projected score148.8pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 18.6
Score range: 129–187
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 300 vs event baseline 109.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

347.2Season APEX337.5

35.2Auto48.3

83.2Teleop64.7

42.8Endgame30.4

37Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	32
teleop	68	41
endgame	56	47
foul	0	0
total	180	120

Result

Final score

180 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 20.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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