FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

114.68 – 47.59

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

130 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 21.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 378.4 ±11.2

9238Jaybots

Season APEX 42.9Event APEX 11.91Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6753CBA RoboKings

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 53.43Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2619The Charge

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 49.34Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188.5 ±13.3

6533BeaverTech noducks

Season APEX 45Event APEX 10.71Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9662Valley Lutheran Chargers

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 11.96Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5561Raider Robotics

Season APEX 99.4Event APEX 24.92Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9238, 6753, 2619

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9238, 6753, 2619

Auto

16.0 13%

Teleop

64.4 54%

Endgame

39.7 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6533, 9662, 5561

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6533, 9662, 5561

Auto

19.6 40%

Teleop

19.7 40%

Endgame

9.9 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.91 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score114.7pts

Blue projected score47.6pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67.1
Score range: 28–135
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 205 vs event baseline 110.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

378.4Season APEX188.5

16Auto19.6

64.4Teleop19.7

39.7Endgame9.9

101Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	27
teleop	70	21
endgame	38	22
foul	0	5
total	130	75

Result

Final score

130 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 21.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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