FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

184.06 – 97.44

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

277 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 468.5 ±10.7

5166Fabricators

Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 94.52Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

201The FEDS

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 74.16Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9736Tawas Braves

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 15.38Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 192.2 ±12.8

11458Mechcats

Season APEX 39Event APEX 36.43Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5504The Loose Connections

Season APEX 22.9Event APEX 10.82Rank 39Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5229Heritage Hawkbots

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 50.19Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5166, 201, 9736

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5166, 201, 9736

Auto

27.9 16%

Teleop

98.2 55%

Endgame

52.8 30%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11458, 5504, 5229

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11458, 5504, 5229

Auto

14.5 15%

Teleop

50.9 54%

Endgame

29.1 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score184.1pts

Blue projected score97.4pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 86.6
Score range: 77–204
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 362 vs event baseline 109.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

468.5Season APEX192.2

27.9Auto14.5

98.2Teleop50.9

52.8Endgame29.1

75Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	22
teleop	171	34
endgame	61	29
foul	0	0
total	277	85

Result

Final score

277 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.