FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

32.56 – 88.83

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 122.3 ±13.3

5231The Radical Jays

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX -6.3Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5603The WarriorBots

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 22.64Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6073Cav-Bots

Season APEX 43Event APEX 16.22Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 162.6 ±12.7

5424Rogue Robots

Season APEX 39Event APEX 29.39Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7784Vassar Voltage

Season APEX 47Event APEX 23.47Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1596The Instigators

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 35.97Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5231, 5603, 6073

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5231, 5603, 6073

Auto

15.4 60%

Teleop

0.2 1%

Endgame

10.2 40%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5424, 7784, 1596

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5424, 7784, 1596

Auto

37.5 43%

Teleop

36.3 42%

Endgame

13.3 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score32.6pts

Blue projected score88.8pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -56.3
Score range: 13–109
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 150 vs event baseline 109.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

122.3Season APEX162.6

15.4Auto37.5

0.2Teleop36.3

10.2Endgame13.3

64Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	31
teleop	18	40
endgame	22	0
foul	0	15
total	64	86

Result

Final score

64 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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