FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

117.48 – 204.24

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

165 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 29.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 261.7 ±12.4

3425PULSARS

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 39.5Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 81.92Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9731All Saints Range Precision

Season APEX 37.6Event APEX -3.94Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 294.2 ±11

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 93.23Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3357COMETS

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 66.38Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6033Gadget Agents

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 44.63Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3425, 8873, 9731

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3425, 8873, 9731

Auto

29.4 26%

Teleop

68.1 61%

Endgame

14.8 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5533, 3357, 6033

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5533, 3357, 6033

Auto

40.4 21%

Teleop

108.7 55%

Endgame

47.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score117.5pts

Blue projected score204.2pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -86.8
Score range: 97–224
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 357 vs event baseline 108.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

261.7Season APEX294.2

29.4Auto40.4

68.1Teleop108.7

14.8Endgame47.9

93Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	44
teleop	89	113
endgame	61	35
foul	0	0
total	165	192

Result

Final score

165 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 29.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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