FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

138.88 – 91.54

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

129 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 313.9 ±11.6

9661Huskie STEAM

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 32.21Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1596The Instigators

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 26.88Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8517Bounty Hunters

Season APEX 170.6Event APEX 79.79Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213.1 ±12.8

3357COMETS

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 57.11Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11527FCCA Chrome Crew

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 14.29Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10547United Phoenix

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 20.14Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9661, 1596, 8517

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9661, 1596, 8517

Auto

39.3 29%

Teleop

71.2 52%

Endgame

26.4 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 3357, 11527, 10547

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3357, 11527, 10547

Auto

21.2 24%

Teleop

47.5 54%

Endgame

19.7 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score138.9pts

Blue projected score91.5pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 47.3
Score range: 70–161
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 170 vs event baseline 121.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

313.9Season APEX213.1

39.3Auto21.2

71.2Teleop47.5

26.4Endgame19.7

65Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	3
teleop	98	26
endgame	3	12
foul	0	0
total	129	41

Result

Final score

129 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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