Qualification · Qualification 58
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
144.69 – 76.08
70%30%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
177 – 125
Prediction correct · off by 40.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 290.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 33.53Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 90.93Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 20.23Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 39Event APEX 23.47Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 47.87Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45Event APEX 4.74Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1596, 5166, 5525
80
/ 100 compatProjected
144.7 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 1596, 5166, 5525
Auto
29.1 20%
Teleop
73.7 51%
Endgame
41.3 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5424, 6753, 6533
54
/ 100 compatProjected
76.1 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 5424, 6753, 6533
Auto
25.1 33%
Teleop
34.6 46%
Endgame
15.5 21%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 0.95
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score144.7pts
Blue projected score76.1pts
Red win probability70%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 68.6
- Score range
- 57–164
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
290.4Season APEX204.2
29.1Auto25.1
73.7Teleop34.6
41.3Endgame15.5
84Consistency96
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 50 | 35 |
| teleop | 72 | 51 |
| endgame | 55 | 39 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 177 | 125 |
Result
Final score
177 – 125
Prediction correct · off by 40.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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