FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.46 – 107.77

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

81 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 41.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 143.3 ±13.3

7784Vassar Voltage

Season APEX 47Event APEX 17.84Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5603The WarriorBots

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 21.43Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11527FCCA Chrome Crew

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 15.19Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.3 ±12.8

9736Tawas Braves

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 12.66Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 87.33Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9238Jaybots

Season APEX 42.9Event APEX 7.78Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7784, 5603, 11527

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7784, 5603, 11527

Auto

11.0 20%

Teleop

21.2 39%

Endgame

22.2 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9736, 5533, 9238

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9736, 5533, 9238

Auto

20.7 20%

Teleop

55.5 52%

Endgame

29.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score54.5pts

Blue projected score107.8pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -53.3
Score range: 35–127
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 245 vs event baseline 107.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

143.3Season APEX217.3

11Auto20.7

21.2Teleop55.5

22.2Endgame29.6

23Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	20
teleop	37	79
endgame	18	65
foul	0	0
total	81	164

Result

Final score

81 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 41.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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