Qualification · Qualification 53
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
140.71 – 62.79
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
84 – 129
Prediction missed · off by 61.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 313 ±12.2
Season APEX 170.6Event APEX 85.05Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 99.4Event APEX 32Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43Event APEX 23.66Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 163.3 ±12.7
Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 36.69Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 39.21Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 33.5Event APEX -13.11Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8517, 5561, 6073
78
/ 100 compatProjected
140.7 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 8517, 5561, 6073
Auto
27.7 21%
Teleop
72.2 55%
Endgame
31.2 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9685, 6033, 5231
34
/ 100 compatProjected
62.8 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9685, 6033, 5231
Auto
35.2 61%
Teleop
6.2 11%
Endgame
16.4 28%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 0.86
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score140.7pts
Blue projected score62.8pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 26%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 77.9
- Score range
- 44–160
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
313Season APEX163.3
27.7Auto35.2
72.2Teleop6.2
31.2Endgame16.4
56Consistency94
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 34 |
| teleop | 34 | 44 |
| endgame | 36 | 41 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 84 | 129 |
Result
Final score
84 – 129
Prediction missed · off by 61.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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